ViralResolved
Will Germany's all-time heat record be broken in 2026 (over 41.2°C)?
Germany's official heat record is 41.2°C (Duisburg-Baerl & Tönisvorst, July 2019). Summer 2026 is off to a hot start—will a new all-time record be measured somewhere in Germany?
Yes probability73 Prozent
Probability history
| Time | Value |
|---|---|
| 07/09/2026 | 15 % |
| 07/13/2026 | 37 % |
| 07/14/2026 | 53 % |
| 07/15/2026 | 90 % |
| 07/16/2026 | 91 % |
| 07/18/2026 | 55 % |
| 07/21/2026 | 73 % |
Related news
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Resolution rule
YES if the German Weather Service (DWD) confirms a temperature strictly above 41.2°C at an official weather station in Germany by September 30, 2026 (official DWD confirmation/review is decisive, not raw measurements). Otherwise NO.
Source: dwd.de (official record confirmation)
- Prediction deadline
- 09/30/2026
- Resolution by
- 10/05/2026
- Starting probability
- 15 %
- Status
- Resolved
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