SportsResolved
Will Michael Olise leave FC Bayern Munich during the 2026 summer transfer window?
Michael Olise (24), one of the stars of World Cup finalist France, is being pursued by Real Madrid, according to L'Équipe and Bild. Bayern president Hoeneß declared him “not for sale.” The transfer window in Germany closes on September 1, 2026.
Yes probability38 Prozent
Probability history
| Time | Value |
|---|---|
| 07/25/2026 | 50 % |
| 07/25/2026 | 89 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 54 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 72 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 27 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 55 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 34 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 75 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 85 % |
| 07/26/2026 | 91 % |
| 07/27/2026 | 55 % |
| 07/28/2026 | 83 % |
| 07/28/2026 | 51 % |
| 07/28/2026 | 31 % |
| 07/29/2026 | 74 % |
| 08/08/2026 | 84 % |
| 08/18/2026 | 60 % |
| 08/26/2026 | 59 % |
| 08/28/2026 | 59 % |
| 08/30/2026 | 62 % |
Related news
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Resolution rule
Resolves YES if Olise officially transfers to another club by September 1, 2026 (11:59 p.m. CEST) and Bayern confirms his departure. Resolves NO if he is still an FC Bayern Munich player on September 2, 2026.
Source: Official transfer confirmation from FC Bayern Munich (fcbayern.com) or the DFL transfer list
- Prediction deadline
- 08/31/2026
- Resolution by
- 09/02/2026
- Starting probability
- 50 %
- Status
- Resolved
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