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Will UEFA formally announce a boycott of FIFA by the end of 2026?
The conflict between UEFA and FIFA is escalating: UEFA is threatening a formal boycott in response to FIFA plans to sell stakes in the FIFA World Cup. An official boycott would have far-reaching consequences for global soccer.
Yes probability50 Prozent
Probability history
| Time | Value |
|---|---|
| 07/29/2026 | 27 % |
| 07/29/2026 | 10 % |
| 07/29/2026 | 45 % |
| 08/18/2026 | 53 % |
| 09/01/2026 | 50 % |
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Resolution rule
Resolution: Yes if UEFA publishes an official written statement by December 31, 2026, announcing a formal boycott of FIFA competitions or FIFA institutions; No if no such statement has been published.
Source: Official UEFA.com press release, UEFA Executive Committee decision, or report by BILD
- Prediction deadline
- 12/28/2026
- Resolution by
- 12/31/2026
- Starting probability
- 27 %
- Status
- Open
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