SportsClosed
Will the FIFA Congress approve the World Cup privatization under Infantino's plan (approx. USD 20 billion)?
FIFA President Gianni Infantino is planning to partially privatize the FIFA World Cup in a deal estimated at around USD 20 billion. UEFA has threatened a boycott. A decision by the FIFA Congress is expected within the next 4–8 weeks.
Yes probability32 Prozent
Probability history
| Time | Value |
|---|---|
| 07/30/2026 | 57 % |
| 07/30/2026 | 21 % |
| 08/05/2026 | 71 % |
| 08/11/2026 | 57 % |
| 08/13/2026 | 63 % |
| 08/18/2026 | 65 % |
| 08/18/2026 | 68 % |
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Resolution rule
Resolves Yes if the FIFA Congress officially votes on Infantino's privatization plan by 30.09.2026 and it is approved by a majority. Resolves No if the plan is rejected, postponed, or not put to a vote by then.
Source: Official FIFA press releases (fifa.com) and reporting from kicker.de and sport1.de
Data source: Infantino wants to sell the World Cup!
- Prediction deadline
- 09/29/2026
- Resolution by
- 10/03/2026
- Starting probability
- 43 %
- Status
- Closed
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