Wie viele Minuten Verspätung hat der ICE 882 (München→Hamburg) heute bei Ankunft in Hamburg Hbf?
Tägliches Bahn-Orakel: Ankunftsverspätung laut DB Timetables. Zugausfall = Annullierung (VOID).
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Distribution
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- Predictions
- 0
- Total pool
- 0.00 Play Money
Data source: Deutsche Bahn AG
Resolution rule
Automatische Auflösung über die Datenquelle „db-timetables“.
Source: Deutsche Bahn AG (CC BY 4.0)
- Prediction deadline
- 09/10/2026
- Resolution by
- 09/10/2026
- Status
- Voided
How does a scale prediction work?
For a scale prediction, enter a number such as a temperature or price. All prediction amounts in the market go into one pool.
After resolution, the pool is distributed: the closer your prediction is to the actual number, the more you receive. Far-away predictions receive almost nothing. At equal distance, a larger prediction amount increases your return.
Example: 3 players with 100 Play Money each
Three players predict “How hot will it be today?” and use 100 Play Money each, making a pool of 300 Play Money. The actual temperature is 29°C.
| Player | Prediction | Return |
|---|---|---|
| Anna | 29 °C | 186.00 Play Money |
| Ben | 31 °C | 113.00 Play Money |
| Carla | 40 °C | 0.00 Play Money |
Anna is exactly right and receives the most, Ben is 2 degrees away and receives less, and Carla is far away and receives nothing. A rounding remainder of 1 Play Money goes to the bank.
Important: predictions are binding. You cannot change or withdraw them. Your Play Money stays in the pool until resolution. If a market is voided, your prediction amount is fully refunded.
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